home  |  book  |  blogs  |   RSS  |  contact  |

Jobs and Revolution Radical Suits and Their Suckers

print view

Trillions and Trillions

by Christopher Chantrill
February 24, 2011 at 6:28 pm


PRESIDENT Obama’s Director of the Office of Management and Budget trailed the FY12 federal budget for the media the day before the budget was sent up to Congress on February 14. Reported Reuters:

President Barack Obama’s proposed budget for fiscal 2012 will seek to cut the record federal deficit by $1.1 trillion over the next 10 years, White House budget director Jack Lew said on Sunday.

The liberal base wants to hear about Pentagon cuts, and “A Democratic aide said the budget would reduce Pentagon spending by $78 billion over five years.” But Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) told a group in Kentucky that the Obama agenda is over. “He said the Democratic president’s credentials on spending and debt “are horrible, and he earned it.’”

Nobody is yet saying that the president’s budget is “dead on arrival,” as Democrats used to say with relish in the 1980s.

Of course, nobody is doing anything about entitlements either. Not yet. However, the entitlement problem is pretty simple. Here is the CBO’s latest Long Term Outlook for the federal budget. It is now available at usgovernmentspending.com, as are the CBO’s earlier efforts going back to 2005.

This is not really that hard. Social Security, the blue band on the bottom, is big, but manageable. But federal health care costs for Medicare and Medicaid, the red band in the middle, are out of control. As you can see, the CBO analysis projects that federal health care costs will climb to 20 percent of GDP by 2084, and that doesn’t include the private share of health care costs. Obviously, Herbert Stein’s law apply. “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”

I was privileged recently to listen in on a couple of 80-year-old grandmothers talk about health care. These two venerable Americans demonstrate from their conversation that they count the cost of just about everything, are diligent in searching for bargains, and fearless in disputing items that fail to measure up to their standards. They are not diligent in disputing the price of their health care, only in the service they receive.

The day that America deputizes its grandmothers to ride herd upon the cost of health care will be the day that the nation’s health cost curve will bend downwards and the entitlement crisis will end. That is why the plan of Rep. Paul Ryan (R-IL) to convert Medicare from a defined benefit program into a fixed subsidy is so powerful. Imagine 20 million women working to stretch their Ryan health care benefit to the limit!

Of course, in the here and now, we have President Obama’s budget and the usual rhetoric about balancing the budget on the backs of the poor. The problem for the usual rhetoric is that, over the past two years, Americans have suddenly become more concerned about an unbalanced budget breaking the backs of the middle class.

When the unbalanced budget is breaking the backs of the middle class, in inflation and in government default, then you can stop worrying about the backs of the poor. That is because when middle-class backs are breaking the poor and the elderly will be reduced to “eating the paint off the walls.” That’s how a Polish acquaintance described the situation in the Soviet Empire in the years after the Berlin Wall came down.

The price of liberty is eternal vigilance, and that’s where usgovernmentspending.com comes in. Already, it provides a one-page view of government spending, deficits, and debt. It provides a functional breakdown of spending at the level of “trillions and trillions” and a drill-down for, e.g., health care. If you are a history buff you can look at the national debt since the day that Alexander Hamilton founded it. But now it’s time for an all-new feature: Federal Budget Analyst.

Federal Budget Analyst is based on a little known fact. Not many people know this, but deep in the federal budget’s Historical Tables are XLS spreadsheets with line-item estimates for the next five years. The way I figure it, these fearless forecasts ought to see the light of day. That means that they need to be dug out of their inaccessible spreadsheets and plastered across Google-searchable web pages. That way Google can help you find, e.g., the trend in federal health care costs for the next five years here. Or you can look at health costs for the latest complete fiscal year, FY10, and see how all those estimates in previous budgets panned out.

The fight for America is an all-front war. It needs every shoulder to the wheel. It needs grandmothers determined to make health care work for them; it needs Tea Partiers determined about cutting taxes and spending and deficits; it needs politicians up to the challenge of reading the writing on the wall.

And last but not least, it needs nerdly web tools to bring the trillions of dollars on arcane government spreadsheets out into the light of day.

Christopher Chantrill blogs at www.roadtothemiddleclass.com.

Buy his Road to the Middle Class.

print view

To comment on this article at American Thinker click here.

To email the author, click here.



What Liberals Think About Conservatives

[W]hen I asked a liberal longtime editor I know with a mainstream [publishing] house for a candid, shorthand version of the assumptions she and her colleagues make about conservatives, she didn't hesitate. “Racist, sexist, homophobic, anti-choice fascists,” she offered, smiling but meaning it.
Harry Stein, I Can't Believe I'm Sitting Next to a Republican

Racial Discrimination

[T]he way “to achieve a system of determining admission to the public schools on a nonracial basis,” Brown II, 349 U. S., at 300–301, is to stop assigning students on a racial basis. The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race.
Roberts, C.J., Parents Involved in Community Schools vs. Seattle School District

Liberal Coercion

[T]he Liberal, and still more the subspecies Radical... more than any other in these latter days seems under the impression that so long as he has a good end in view he is warranted in exercising over men all the coercion he is able[.]
Herbert Spencer, The Man Versus the State

Taking Responsibility

[To make] of each individual member of the army a soldier who, in character, capability, and knowledge, is self-reliant, self-confident, dedicated, and joyful in taking responsibility [verantwortungsfreudig] as a man and a soldier. — Gen. Hans von Seeckt
MacGregor Knox, Williamson Murray, ed., The dynamics of military revolution, 1300-2050

Responsible Self

[The Axial Age] highlights the conception of a responsible self... [that] promise[s] man for the first time that he can understand the fundamental structure of reality and through salvation participate actively in it.
Robert N Bellah, "Religious Evolution", American Sociological Review, Vol. 29, No. 3.


[In the] higher Christian churches... they saunter through the liturgy like Mohawks along a string of scaffolding who have long since forgotten their danger. If God were to blast such a service to bits, the congregation would be, I believe, genuinely shocked. But in the low churches you expect it every minute.
Annie Dillard, Holy the Firm


[Every] sacrifice is an act of impurity that pays for a prior act of greater impurity... without its participants having to suffer the full consequences incurred by its predecessor. The punishment is commuted in a process that strangely combines and finesses the deep contradiction between justice and mercy.
Frederick Turner, Beauty: The Value of Values


Within Pentecostalism the injurious hierarchies of the wider world are abrogated and replaced by a single hierarchy of faith, grace, and the empowerments of the spirit... where groups gather on rafts to take them through the turbulence of the great journey from extensive rural networks to the mega-city and the nuclear family...
David Martin, On Secularization

Conservatism's Holy Grail

What distinguishes true Conservatism from the rest, and from the Blair project, is the belief in more personal freedom and more market freedom, along with less state intervention... The true Third Way is the Holy Grail of Tory politics today - compassion and community without compulsion.
Minette Marrin, The Daily Telegraph

Moral Imperatives of Modern Culture

These emerge out of long-standing moral notions of freedom, benevolence, and the affirmation of ordinary life... I have been sketching a schematic map... [of] the moral sources [of these notions]... the original theistic grounding for these standards... a naturalism of disengaged reason, which in our day takes scientistic forms, and a third family of views which finds its sources in Romantic expressivism, or in one of the modernist successor visions.
Charles Taylor, Sources of the Self

Drang nach Osten

There was nothing new about the Frankish drive to the east... [let] us recall that the continuance of their rule depended upon regular, successful, predatory warfare.
Richard Fletcher, The Barbarian Conversion

Government Expenditure

The Union publishes an exact return of the amount of its taxes; I can get copies of the budgets of the four and twenty component states; but who can tell me what the citizens spend in the administration of county and township?
Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

presented by Christopher Chantrill

Data Sources  •   •  Contact